![]() ![]() Someone like Jeff George might be a better comparison from an efficiency standpoint and matches on the tool set, but George easily led the Big 10 in passing yards and passing TDs in 1989: Cutler ranked 7th in AY/A and 8th in Y/A, but he had the advantage of being in a much tougher conference and also shouldering a significantly larger load. So who is a good comparable for Allen? Jay Cutler played on a bad team in college but he was the whole offense: he easily led the SEC in pass attempts and also passing yards, while posting decent enough rate numbers against top defenses. And the Cowboys led the conference in points allowed, which is why they finished 8-5 despite the poor offense. Wyoming had a great defense, averaging 2.9 takeaways per game, by far the most in the conference. Allen was below-average in college and has off the chart measurables. Those quarterbacks were top picks because they were dominant in college and had off the chart measurables. ![]() So no, comparisons to Leaf and Russell don’t make much sense. Allen wasn’t playing for a good offense, or a pass-heavy offense: he was leading a very bad offense in a mediocre conference and he produced mediocre (at best) passing numbers: He also quarterbacked the single worst offense in the conference! Wyoming ranked dead last in total yards. Allen ranked 7th in Adjusted Yards per Attempt in the Mountain West last year, and ranked 10th 11th out of 12 teams in yards per play in yards per attempt among 11 qualifying passers. He had fantastic rate stats and gross stats playing in the toughest conference in football, on top of being an incredible physical specimen.īut Allen? He wasn’t good, even in the Mountain West Conference. He averaged 9.7 yards per pass and lapped the Pac-10 in passing yards and touchdowns, ranking second in efficiency only to another future first round pick:Īnd Russell? Well, he led the SEC in Y/A and AY/A and also completion percentage in his final season. Here is what Leaf did in his final season: he was extremely efficient despite easily leading the Pac-10 in passing attempts. That’s because those guys were stars in college. That has naturally led to some comparisons to two of the biggest draft busts in recent memory: Ryan Leaf and JaMarcus Russell.īut a comparison to Leaf, Russell, and don’t make much sense. In some minds, Allen doesn’t even project as a first round pick.Īllen has a significant amount of bust potential but traditional quarterback size and one of the greatest arms you’ll ever see. The buzz is getting louder that the Browns will select Allen with the first overall pick the more analytically inclined observers think that would be a disaster. There is no more polarizing quarterback prospect in this year’s draft than Wyoming’s Josh Allen. ![]()
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